Fan Hao's comment on KKB. All Comments

Fan Hao
1 Like · Reply
看好你会回弹,入股1.6, 已在1.55加码
6/7 1.64已卖出, 暂时结束kkb投资
Chong Wai Guan
股价会跌是因为什么呢?
Like · 3 years · translate
Fan Hao
no volume bro, 散户忍不住丢票
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Fan Hao
它越跌我也开心,反弹的高度就越高
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Chong Wai Guan
原来是因为vol., 因为我看它在油价起的时候又跌,在很多股票起的时候也是跌,我就觉得奇怪...谢谢你的解答
Like · 3 years · translate
KKB 第三第四季业绩通常比较好?
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Ah Choon Wong
JJ Lim
你又知道,利害了...........................
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choon 哥不要笑我 我就放了个问号啊 求choon哥 带我
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Ricardo Milos
很好奇, 有没有人去了他们的股东大会?
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Ricardo Milos
有些前辈说, sarawak 的股非常难玩。 没有大赚, 只有小赚或者是亏钱。 不过这个最坏的季度, 公司只用了大概1M的现金储备, 还成功把营运成本减少。 说明了管理层算是优秀, 为最坏做打算, 但是尽量做到最好。

砂劳越还需要很多道路和水供发展。 东马已知基建发展开销需要介于140-150亿左右。 沙巴还有80亿的合约在等待颁发。

如果油气业可以复苏, 对KKB 也是好事。
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Like · 3 years · translate
Ricardo Milos
认同, 前提是政府要有足够资金。
工程部高级部长说他会推动沙巴 Pan Borneo highway 剩下20个, 大概475km 的工程配套的颁发。 估计大概在80亿左右, 是块很肥的肉。

鉴于砂劳越的较好经验。 我猜测政府会使用部分固打制,或者以联营公司的方法让大型承包商参与。 比如说 naim gamuda , zecon kimlun , KKBWCT ,
沙巴的15个配套很多都是小型承包商,导致出现工程进展问题。 同样的时间, 砂劳越750km 现在完成了52% , 沙巴200KM完成了32% 。

还有, 不管KKB有没有办法标到工程, 他们的产品是工程最需要的, 铁水管。
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SS Lim
Looks good
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Ah Choon Wong
No need to cut loss, i am going to join you all two, hope for the best..........because i profited from it before.
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Ricardo Milos
I'm still holding Mr Wong .
technically now at strong support .

the safety margin of this stock is quite high because it went down to 1.3+ in March. meaning worst to worst the downside is only another 15%.

next month onwards will be budget presentation of the state and federal government .

the theme might come .

cabinet distribution is quite clear , to emphasize the development whenever possible, especially easy msia .
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Like · 3 years · translate
Ricardo Milos
my impression towards work ministry is generally positive . at least under him , some major projects are back on tracks .
during baru bian time , u barely seen anyone working on the project site. but after Fadillah taking over , the contractors came back .
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Ah Choon Wong
Buy on dips................Hahaha
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Ricardo Milos
pan Borneo highway Sabah
progress
awarded in between 2017 to 2018
March 2019 10%
Feb 2020 20% , contractors no where to be seen in most place , only 2 functioning contractors

Aug 2020 32%
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Ah Choon Wong
It’s oil gas and water pipes contract are more profitable than the Borneo Highway contract.
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Ricardo Milos
yes . this is what I afraid .
last 2QR I estimated the oil and gas piping project , the crude profit margin is about 30% . for pan Borneo project , the crude profit margin is about 10-15% .

steel pipe manufacturing business should be thriving .

risk
can the company getting similar profitability from the new oil and gas project ?
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Like · 3 years · translate
Ricardo Milos
nevertheless, the management is commendable for the balance sheet during such challenging period .
I was unable to attend the AGM last month .so I can't really comment how ambitious is the boss .
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Ah Choon Wong
The worst was over, just hope for the best........
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Ricardo Milos
agree . most of the uncertainties are over . hope when the theme come and bring us fly .
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Ah Choon Wong
It will come, just a matter of time, remember Sarawak election is coming, the election theme will be in soon......know others who don’t know, is the best way to be ahead of others.
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Ah Choon Wong
Soon ......I entered at 1.50 something, sold at 1.60 something, profit about 10 cents only, but going to re enter soon, I will buy on dips.
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Ah Choon Wong
負.......fair value 近兩季难算,因为这两季 revenue 及 earnings 被打亂了,不过它是Sarawak 现在管理及盈利都是建筑还好的公司. 可以 buy on dips........不要追.
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Ricardo Milos
Mr Wong , 上个月有去到股东大会吗?
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Ah Choon Wong
Ricardo......I am staying in a very small village name Behrang Station. How to go to the 股東大会. I just read the annual report and follow it’s latest news and development and monitor it.
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Ricardo Milos
ok bro , lets stay tuned for good news of KKB =)
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Ah Choon Wong
Ok.....Ok...................................
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Ah Choon Wong
Any news just exchange our views and hope you make profit from it.
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ZH Ling
1.40可以进场了吗?
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Fan Hao
kkb多2个财报预计会游走在1-1.2之间,不建议买进,投资科技股吧
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Ricardo Milos
现在是下跌趋势, 支撑在1.4 左右。 下个季度财报肯定会更好。
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Ah Choon Wong
Soon Tak Tee......恭喜你,construction stocks 开始动了....还没買,再等一等.
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Ricardo Milos
我在1.4-1.5之间加码, 总portfolio 的比例从10% 拉到了15% 。
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Ricardo Milos
我也逐步买入了一些cmsb , 在1.15 左右。
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Ricardo Milos
希望这一波主题回来, 公司继续为我们创造价值, 嘻嘻。
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Ricardo Milos
很大可能今天会出业绩。 他至少要在赚15M 来符合我的预期
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Ricardo Milos
i had some review of my homework on KKB , made some adjustment again to avoid overestimation .
KKB should be able to make about at least 10M of profit in next QR with the known contract on hand , as some projects , personal estimate is about 12M . At such situation , RM 1.8 at PE 10 is not too difficult.
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1 Like · 3 years · translate
Ricardo Milos
•The performance is within expectation. With excellent balance sheet , some free cash flow (excluding dividends). Cash equivalents increased from 111M to 133M , even after the dividend was paid.
My verdict is remaining same. Now wait for new contract announcement.
1 Like · 3 years · translate
Ricardo Milos
just revised the TP , is about 1.85 to 2.1 . I'm guessing the new project is worth about 200-250M . after convertion will be about 130-140M . assuming the construction period is 2 years . its expected to bring about 15-16M of additional revenue , bringing the total revenue to 130-140M per Q , profit 13-15M
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ST T
Hi, Ricardo. Hold this stock for more than 3 months. Received dividend and from earning became loss and now become earn. Plan to sell all in 2 stages at 1.86 and 2.05.
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Sin Sue
might surprise u later...
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Sin Sue
Soon Tak, ya, playing this counter eats up all your patience. with no catalyst, this stock probably will drift sideways...however, it is still a fundamentally sound counter
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