Palm oil extends gains as output worries ease, higher exports seen

TheEdge Thu, Mar 21, 2019 02:31pm - 5 years View Original


KUALA LUMPUR (March 21): Malaysian palm oil futures rose in first-half trade on Thursday, extending gains to their highest in more than two weeks, as easing concerns about high output and expectations of better export demand buoyed investor sentiment.

The benchmark third-month palm oil contract on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was up 0.8% at RM2,182 (US$537.70) a tonne at the midday break, its highest since March 4. It was headed for a fifth straight sessions of gains.

"Market is paying close attention to production and demand. Earlier expectation of production increase is changing and exports are picking up," said a Kuala Lumpur-based trader, adding that the hot weather also portended slowing output in six months.

Top producers Indonesia and Malaysia saw a bumper harvest last year, flushing the market with palm oil and dampening prices.

Plans by the European Union to phase out the use of palm oil in renewable transport fuel by 2030 also added to concerns over stockpile.

Cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance reported on Wednesday a rise of 0.8% in exports of Malaysian palm oil products for the March 1-20 period compared to the same period a month ago.

Meanwhile, a stronger ringgit made the vegetable oil less attractive to buyers holding foreign currencies, limiting the gains in palm oil prices.

The ringgit rose 0.17% against the dollar to its strongest level since last July.

"The ringgit has continued to appreciate after the US Federal Reserve signalled no rate hike," said another trader.   

Palm oil is expected to test a resistance at RM2,190 per tonne, a break above which could lead to a gain to RM2,227, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.

The Chicago soybean oil contract was last up 0.2%. The Dalian Commodity Exchange soyoil contract was 0.2% higher, and the palm olein contract was up 0.5%.    

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0531 GMT

Contract        Month   Last  Change     Low    High   Volume
MY PALM OIL     APR9    2096   +1.00    2082    2096      951
MY PALM OIL     MAY9    2144  +14.00    2120    2145     2967
MY PALM OIL     JUN9    2182  +18.00    2154    2182     8759
CHINA PALM OLEIN     MAY9    4486  +20.00    4470    4498   187012
CHINA SOYOIL    MAY9    5544  +12.00    5530    5572   116728
CBOT SOY OIL    MAY9   29.34   +0.07   29.28   29.34     1633
INDIA PALM OIL  MAR9    0.00   +0.00    0.00 0 0
INDIA SOYOIL    APR9   740.7   +2.25   738.2  742.35     8520
NYMEX CRUDE     MAY9   60.27   +0.04   59.95   60.33    24887

(US$1 = RM4.0580)
(US$1 = 6.6824 Chinese yuan)
(US$1 = 68.5100 Indian rupees)

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