Palm gains more than 1% as output expected to decline

TheEdge Fri, Dec 14, 2018 08:11pm - 5 years View Original


KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 14): Malaysian palm oil futures rose more than 1% on Friday to a three-week peak, supported by expectations of slowing output in Malaysia and easing stock levels in Indonesia.    

The benchmark palm oil contract for February delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed up 1.1% at RM2,068 (US$494) a tonne for a third consecutive session of gains. It earlier reached RM2,071, its highest level since Nov 22.

Palm has gained 3.5% this week after two straight weekly falls.

Trading volumes on Friday totalled 36,523 lots of 25 tonnes each.

"Production this month is expected to be down (from the previous month)," said a Singapore-based trader, adding that inventories in Indonesia were also seen declining. "Malaysian refiners imported so much (from Indonesia) last month."

Malaysian palm oil imports from neighbouring Indonesia rose in October and November, as high output and inventories forced Indonesian sellers to lower prices of the edible oil, making shipments cheaper than Malaysian oil even with shipping costs.

Industry regulator data showed Malaysian palm oil production in November slid 6.09% from the previous month to 1.85 million tonnes, and is forecast to decline further in December.

Palm oil production seasonally peaks between the third and fourth quarters of the year before declining towards the year-end.

In other related oils, the Chicago January soybean oil contract slipped 0.7%, while the January soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1%.

Meanwhile, the Dalian January palm oil contract was up 1%.

Palm oil prices are affected by changes in soyoil prices, as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oil market.

Palm oil may gain further into a range of RM2,074-2,103 per tonne, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1030 GMT:

Contract          Month    Last  Change     Low    High  Volume
MY PALM OIL       DEC8        0   +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL       JAN9     1974  +16.00    1946    1984     717
MY PALM OIL       FEB9     2068  +22.00    2028    2071   15376
CHINA PALM OLEIN  JAN9     4114  +42.00    4068    4122   65424
CHINA SOYOIL      JAN9     5012  -52.00    5012    5068  116320
CBOT SOY OIL      JAN9    28.64   +0.00   0 0 90
INDIA PALM OIL    DEC8   507.00   +1.90  505.10   507.8     525
INDIA SOYOIL      DEC8      741   -1.80     740   741.6     150
NYMEX CRUDE       JAN9    52.49   -0.09   52.11   52.95   98007

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in US cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in US dollars per barrel

(US$1 = RM4.1830)
(US$1 = 71.8075 Indian rupees)
(US$1 = 6.8980 Chinese yuan)

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