Cover Story: ‘We want to see a healthy level of trading, not just exuberance’

TheEdge Thu, Feb 18, 2021 02:30pm - 3 years View Original


DATUK Muhamad Umar Swift, CEO of Bursa Malaysia Bhd, has more than 25 years’ experience in the banking, insurance and financial services industry.

Armed with a Bachelor of Economics from Monash University, Clayton, Australia, Umar started his career with Price Waterhouse as a chartered accountant in January 1986.

From September 2006, he was managing director and CEO of MAA Group Bhd, an insurance outfit ultimately controlled by Tunku Datuk Yaacob Khyra. He joined Bursa Malaysia in February 2019.

Two years into his tenure as CEO of the stock exchange, Umar reflects on his journey so far and the road ahead. Here are excerpts of The Edge’s exclusive interview with him:

 

The Edge: 2020 turned out to be a great year for Bursa Malaysia despite the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, as ample liquidity and the stay-home phenomenon contributed to the rally in equities everywhere. What do you make of that?

Datuk Muhamad Umar Swift: 2020 was a very challenging year. It was a year of two halves. There was a whole new investor base, which we have never seen before, (that) came back to the market. The FBM KLCI started at 1,600 in January last year, and then it just fell to 1,219 in March. That coincided with the Movement Control Order (MCO), and everyone was not sure what was going to happen. This time last year, businesses were suffering, people did not see the light at the end of the tunnel.

 

What was the turning point?

With the pandemic, so much has changed. My wife (Datuk Professor Dr Adeeba Kamarulzaman) is an infectious disease specialist at UM Specialist Centre. The healthcare experts have been trying different solutions, they were looking at the UK and Europe on what could work. Today, we know so much more about the disease.


We then realised that the world did not have enough rubber gloves, because suddenly, hygiene became very important. The glove companies did not have sufficient capacity. That was just a wonderful call to action. A whole new group of investors have been opening Central Depository System (CDS) accounts. It was a much younger group of investors that came to join us. They found that opening CDS accounts online and trading online are not difficult. They made some profits and they never left the market.

 

While retail investors have been returning to the local bourse in a big way, do you expect the interest to be maintained when rates go up or normalcy returns? How do you keep them interested?

What we want to see is a healthy market, where companies can raise capital efficiently. The key to achieving that is to make sure that the listed companies are exciting enough and people want to invest in them. We need to have different themes in the market. We need to have more interesting companies and more green companies with adequate free float, so that more retail and institutional investors could invest in [them].

 

Are you concerned the active retail participation might eventually lead to mob mania?

Again, we want a healthy market. We are looking at all the elements in the market. If we look at the trading volume and value in August last year, it was very different from what we are seeing now. Back then, we were seeing a lot of penny stocks trading, which was more speculative in nature. But today, the value-to-volume ratio is now moving closer to 70-80 sen. In comparison, the collective value-to-volume ratio between June and August 2020 was 55 sen. Overall, we want to see a healthy level of trading, not just exuberance. And we hope investors can make more informed decisions.

 

While higher retail participation and a vibrant market are great for Bursa, have they also made your job as the frontline regulator more difficult?

Work on laying strong regulatory foundations started many years ago. Today, we are mainly building on this foundation and remain single-minded in our focus on improving efficiency and efficacy to ensure the operation of a fair and orderly market. This includes heavily investing in market and trade surveillance technology. Perhaps the challenge that comes with the proliferation of retail investors in our market is for retail investors to grasp the concept of trading in a truly informed manner. Continuous and effective education and awareness are essential for informed investing. We want retail investors to derive value from trading or investing in the marketplace as this will ensure that they are here to stay.

 

Do you think that the temporary relief measures given to listed companies last year, for example, virtual AGMs and raising the limit on the general mandate for issue of new securities from 10% to 20% of the total number of issued shares, have been abused by certain companies? For example, some questions were ignored at AGMs and quite a number of placements were undertaken, leading to dilution for existing shareholders.

Despite the stock market rally last year, the fact remains that many companies still needed the support, so we gave them regulatory relief. I think the key thing is to allow companies to access capital, to raise funds quickly and efficiently, when they need them. Certain controls are in place to make sure that everyone could benefit, no one benefits over another, nobody is being forced to subscribe to anything, and things like that. For instance, when there is a private placement exercise, we would ask the company to whom its shares will be placed. Sometimes we give a waiver, sometimes we don’t.

 

A listed company was in the spotlight last year when it appointed a businessman with a colourful past as its chairman. How could it happen?

We can’t block the appointment. However, we have put a positive obligation on the nomination committee of this listed company to have certain characters on the board. Our objective is to create policies and allow companies to run themselves. We want them to behave. We provide guidance, listing requirements and listing rules. We want to live the governance, but not in a prescriptive way.

 

What are your concerns on the ongoing BursaBets issue? Can we expect any action or regulatory measures to address it?

Our primary and secondary concerns are possible market manipulation, in particular pump and dump, and provision of investment advice by unlicensed individuals. This is not the first time the regulators have come across such trading frenzy. During the glove and healthcare stocks rally last year, we had received many complaints from the investing public on having followed such “advice” and having ended up being trapped with losses. The regulators are analysing these leads.

 

Do you personally monitor these social media and investment chat rooms?

Yes, I do. But every now and then, when they found out who I was, I got kicked out of the chat rooms. Do you think you want to have the CEO of the stock exchange in your chat room? I don’t think so. Although I do have somebody else in the chat rooms, they still found out.

 

With digitalisation and mobile trading, where do you see remisiers in 10 years, or even five years?

There is a steady increase in self-directed trading through online trading platforms. At the end of 2020, 78% of retail trades were placed online, as compared to 22% offline through phone calls to their dealers and remisiers.

The role of remisiers is evolving. Remisiers themselves need to adjust and think about their business models. So, this leads to a question for participating organisations and stockbroking firms (to answer) as well — how do they serve their clients? Some stockbroking firms are remisier-based, some are not. If you look at Singapore, some of the broking firms are letting go of their remisiers.

What we will be introducing here is discretionary trading for remisiers. It will be a big change. It gives them the opportunity to provide investment advice, and share a portion of profits from the advice. It is completely changing the nature of the relationship (between remisiers and clients), because it is not just about trading, but also the quality of the advice you give. This will give remisiers a new revenue source. There are customers who want a high level of touch, and there are customers who just want to be left alone to trade. What we want to see is [that] all investors have appropriate levels of engagement.

As at Dec 31 last year, Malaysia had 1,684 salaried dealer’s representatives, and 4,481 commissioned dealer’s representatives or remisiers. They provide not only share execution, but also advice and personal service where a trading platform cannot.

 

So, you are optimistic that they are not a dying breed?

The remisier profession has survived constant change and upheaval over decades of stock market booms and busts as well as financial market consolidation and liberalisation. The remisier is a rare breed of professionals who can and will continue to survive and thrive with his entrepreneurial spirit.

Today, we are seeing remisiers adapting to the changing investment landscape. Many are inherently involved in multiple value-added roles before and after each share transaction. Many have acquired new skills and upgraded their knowledge to meet the changing demands of investors and moved beyond traditional stockbroking to selling listed and non-listed financial products such as equity-linked notes, yield-enhanced certificates, corporate bonds and other innovative derivative products to boost their incomes.

 

There were a few incidents of trading glitches on Bursa last year. What measures have been taken to prevent them from happening again?

We take the two trading incidents in December 2019 and July 2020 very seriously. We would like to reassure you that it was not a systematic glitch, nor was it due to any cybersecurity-related issues. Our systems remain secure and protected. The glitch was a result of an uncommon set of conditions that led to the trading halt.

Together with our partner Nasdaq, we took immediate action to resolve these issues and will apply the experience learnt to prevent similar issues from recurring in the future. Learning from the incident, we have worked with our technology service provider Nasdaq to do a thematic review to identify and address other possible software issues that may occur.

Enhancing the attractiveness of the local bourse

Over the years, much has been done by Bursa Malaysia to enhance its attractiveness as a listing destination and expand its core offerings. However, the recent departure of two companies — Polymer Link Holdings Bhd and JM Education Group Bhd — from the LEAP Market is seen as a wake-up call for the regulator to look into enhancing the listing model as well as facilitating the migration from the LEAP to ACE Market.

“We want to see an easy migration from the LEAP to ACE Market. That’s the conversation we are currently having with the SC (Securities Commission Malaysia). But that overlay with where all these platforms are sitting. We need to make sure there is no regulatory arbitrage,” says Bursa Malaysia Bhd CEO Datuk Muhamad Umar Swift.

However, he is non-committal on when the migration framework will be finalised and rolled out, only saying there have been ongoing discussions with the SC.

“By the way, we do have new LEAP Market companies in the pipeline. There is still interest in this space. We like the LEAP Market because it helps companies to grow. Now, we just need to facilitate the transfer to the ACE Market,” he says.

“I think the LEAP Market has served its purpose of allowing companies to raise capital. Now, what we want to accomplish is to make sure it does not exist in isolation. We need to look at the total universe.”

Polymer Link said low liquidity would hinder its ability to raise additional funds, while JM Education believed that the delisting would allow it greater flexibility to streamline its business operations as an unlisted entity.

In total, about 30 new listings are expected this year, compared with the 19 initial public offerings last year.

As for the exchange-traded fund (ETF) market, some say it has not gained much traction since the launch of the country’s first ETF in 2005. There are currently 19 ETFs listed on Bursa.

Umar says investors should view the market as a long-term value proposition. “ETFs have a role to play in democratising investing. The ETF space that we will be focusing on is the Wakaf ETF, which will bring in Islamic products. Currently, we have two manufacturers working on it.”

He adds that the returns of ETFs listed on Bursa would depend on the returns of the underlying indices tracked by those ETFs. Among the key factors are market cycles and investment themes across different investment periods.

The top three highest performing normal ETFs for 2020 were TradePlus S&P New China Tracker (MYR) (+38.8%), MyETF MSCI Malaysia Islamic Dividend (+27.3%) and MyETF Dow Jones US Titan (+26.2%). Sophisticated ETFs such as the TradePlus NYSE FANG+ Daily (2x) Leverage Tracker garnered a return of 169.1%.

Umar says that moving forward, the exchange is looking to expand the ETF distribution beyond stock brokers to include financial planners, digital asset platform operators, e-wallet providers, and even digital banks — the framework for which was recently released by Bank Negara Malaysia — in the longer term.

To ensure more investment choices, the exchange will engage potential ETF issuers to build a pipeline of listed ETFs that can meet the different investor preferences, with more launches of shariah-compliant ETFs.

When talking about investing, political instability is always cited as the reason investors, particularly foreign funds, continue to shy away from Malaysian assets. Just last Thursday, Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin reiterated that he would advise the Yang di-Pertuan Agong to dissolve parliament as soon as the Covid-19 pandemic is brought under control and a general election can be held.

Umar is of the view that political instability is not the only factor that investors consider when making investments. “There are people who don’t like instability, but there are also people who like volatility and uncertainty. Overall, I think the long-term investors, who are looking for growth, are still with us. The ones that sold are mostly short-term investors looking for trades and profits.”

He says foreign ownership of local equities remains at about 21%, although some have left in search of the yield and foreign exchange plays. “The call to action for foreign investors is that Malaysia is not a cheap market when you look at the forward price-earnings ratio based on earnings. The real key is, what is the path for profitability? We need to get the right offerings with the right themes.

“If you look at our neighbour Singapore, there is a yield play, so people are looking at real estate investment trusts (REITs). But we aspire to be a bit more than that. The EPF (Employees Provident Fund) is one of the largest pension funds in the world. It has deep pockets and it needs to invest. Then, we have PNB (Permodalan Nasional Bhd). So, we need to come out with more good products.”

Last year, Malaysia’s foreign fund outflows amounted to US$5.7 billion (RM23.1 billion), with investors exhibiting risk aversion as they reallocated their investments away from emerging markets. Neighbouring countries such as Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines saw outflows of US$8.3 billion, US$3.2 billion and US$2.2 billion respectively.

Umar points out that these outflows were accompanied by heightened participation, with total sell transactions outweighing purchases by only 15.6%, denoting a balanced sentiment towards Malaysian equities.

Bursa’s take on promotion of stocks on social media

The sharing of investment tips has become a rising trend in the local market as more retail investors eagerly seek to profit from equity trading — mainly from healthcare, vaccine, technology and solar power stocks.

Chat rooms, blogs and social media like YouTube are some of the popular new channels of information, and has led to the proliferation of self-proclaimed investment advisers.

The chatter has helped to maintain market interest while trading momentum in mid- and small-cap stocks has boosted the vibrancy of the market.

However, any call to buy certain stocks by prominent investors would also spark a debate among the investing fraternity.

The question is, some social media users may be treading a fine line, with many asking whether their activities could be construed as trading manipulation or “pump and dump” schemes. Certain individuals may have accumulated shares at low prices before spreading positive news or advice about a company.

“If you are just sharing your personal opinion, [such as] ‘I think this is a good stock’, you can make such a statement. You may even say why this stock is okay, I can’t do anything about it. As long as you are not related to the party, you could make comments based on your observation,” says Bursa Malaysia Bhd CEO Datuk Muhamad Umar Swift.

However, the action of promoting a stock to a certain price level is not acceptable.

“Now, if you are a promoter or a major shareholder, and you come out and say you are going to make this stock go up to certain price level, then it is no longer a general endorsement, it is a statement of intent, and that’s a breach of rules. We are going to have a chat, because you can’t do that,” Umar explains.

While Bursa continues to encourage more retail participation in the local stock market, he urges investors to be wary of promotional hype which can be found in some videos featuring celebrities who are not licensed.

“They (investors) should instead analyse and assess the fundamentals of the company to make informed investing decisions,” he advises.

Umar says the exchange has always been monitoring the market but investors need to understand the risks they are taking.

“You can have opinion to share and robust discussions, but we need to be careful that there could be bad hats. That is why people need to make their enquiries and ask questions,” he says.

Late last year, Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) issued a warning against individuals conducting the business of offering investment advice without a licence, which is an offence under the Capital Markets and Services Act 2007 (CMSA).

If found guilty, they could face a fine not exceeding RM10 million or imprisonment not exceeding 10 years, or both.

The regulator said it has been receiving queries and complaints regarding various social media, chat rooms and messaging applications that appear to be providing specific stock recommendations and investment advice to the public for a fee.

Umar adds that robust frameworks are in place to ensure an efficient, fair and orderly market. “Where warranted, the SC and Bursa will take the necessary measures to curb disruptive trading practices and market abuse.”

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