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Owen Lee
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SRIDGE
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Owen Lee
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SRIDGE(SILVER RIDGE)
MBOW Public Output v3.3
1)核心结论
这是结构最健康的一只(对比前面几只)
本质状态
已进入趋势型上涨,而不是反弹
2)结构 + 多周期 + SPD(Merged Layer)
长周期(Month + Quarter)
结构评分:6.6 / 10
结构状态:底部完成 + 开始抬高结构(不再lower low)
动能状态:MACD修复,Fisher回升
资金(OBV):明显重新累积
SPD:6.3(趋势初期,非爆发但稳定)
结论:长周期已从“空”转“中性偏多”
中周期(Week + Day)
结构评分:7.4 / 10
结构状态:持续 higher low + higher high,上升趋势清晰
动能状态:MACD维持正区,Stoch高位震荡
资金(OBV):持续流入(趋势型资金)
SPD:7.6(推动力稳定,属于趋势推进段)
结论:中周期是主导趋势
短周期(4H + 30m)
结构评分:6.8 / 10
结构状态:高位横盘 + 偶尔假突破
动能状态:MACD震荡,Stoch来回
资金(OBV):短线不稳定(有洗盘)
SPD:6.2(节奏放缓,进入整理段)
结论:短线属于“整理而不是转弱”
总体SPD关系
中 > 短 ≥ 长
说明:这是标准趋势股结构(中周期驱动)
3)关键价位(Key Levels)
支撑区
0.335 – 0.340(趋势支撑)
0.320 – 0.325(结构防守)
0.300(趋势失效位)
压力区
0.350(短压)
0.370 – 0.380(中级突破区)
0.420(趋势扩展区)
4)路径推演(Path A / B / C)
Path A(50%)
条件:突破 0.350
结论:趋势延续,进入新一段上涨
Path B(35%)
条件:维持 0.335 – 0.350
结论:高位整理,为下一段蓄力
Path C(15%)
条件:跌破 0.335
结论:进入中级回调,但趋势未坏
5)最终结论 + 评级(Merged)
当前阶段
趋势中段 + 短线整理
MBOW Ratings
Long-Term:B
Short-Term:B
Composite:B+
Structure:B+
Final Verdict
当前区域:可持有 / 可等回踩参与
关键验证点
是否守住 0.335
是否突破 0.350
结论
这是目前你给的里面唯一“可以当趋势股看”的
不是反弹,是结构性上涨
English (v3.3 Compact)
1)Core Conclusion
Healthy uptrend, not a rebound
2)Structure + SPD
Long-Term: 6.6 (early trend)
Mid-Term: 7.4 (trend driver)
Short-Term: 6.8 (consolidation)
SPD: Mid > Short ≥ Long
3)Key Levels + Paths
Support: 0.335–0.340 / 0.320–0.325 / 0.300
Resistance: 0.350 / 0.370–0.380 / 0.420
Path A: 50% continuation
Path B: 35% consolidation
Path C: 15% pullback
4)Final Verdict + Ratings
Phase: Trend continuation
Long-Term: B
Short-Term: B
Composite: B+
Structure: B+
Trigger: hold 0.335 and break 0.350
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