Creap Mike's comment on PA. All Comments

Creap Mike
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if it can produce the same for 4 consecutive quarter 18m profit means 72 m profit full year. 10 PE = 720 mil = RM 0.47 fair value.
15 PE = 1,080 mil = RM 0.72.
still plenty of rooms to grow once it finish the factory expansion.
Daren Ong
Give them PE 20x also can, with the contracts they acquired
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Creap Mike
if it's PE 20 will be super delicious
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Boss Maxx
每季度 Revenue = RM220 million(已经确定)
净利率 = 8%(以第四季度8.8%)扣除汇率波动)

直接计算PA未来一年盈利模型
每季度:
RM220m × 8% = RM17.6m 净利润
未来一年4个季度:
Revenue = RM220m × 4 = RM880m
Net Profit = RM17.6m × 4 = RM70.4m
按照PA目前约 1.505 billion股计算:
EPS = RM70.4m ÷ 1.505b = RM0.04678
也就是:年EPS ≈ 4.68 sen

所以可以很简单地记一下:
PE 10 = RM0.47
PE 15 = RM0.70
PE 20 = RM0.94

以目前RM0.23股价来做比较:
PE 10 → +110%
PE 15 → +215%
PE 20 → +325%
最关键的一点是
未来四个季度稳定做到:
Revenue RM220m/季 × 8%净利率
那么PA就不是现在FY2026的 RM31m年盈利的公司了,而已是:
RM880m Revenue + RM70.4m PAT + 4.68 sen EPS
而现在RM0.23对应这个未来盈利的Forward PE只有:约4.7倍

所以只从这个盈利模型来看,RM0.47是10倍PE估值,RM0.70是15倍PE估值。这两个价位的数学逻辑都很清楚。

另外,如果把 8%提高到Q4实际约8.8%的净利率,结果还会再更高一截。
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Creap Mike
totally agree. so it's more towards next quarter if can show same profit meaning by the time the 2nd factory expansion completed with more higher demand from solar they might easily get to RM 1.00 also
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