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Daniel Ng
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Daniel Ng replied to comment on AAX.
3 months
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Since no one has asked so far, who are the private placement investors?
Its not probably not, its definitely not lol
I am wondering whether AAX or Capital A is the better investment here.
Capital A (Continuing businesses) Q4FY24 to Q3FY25 NOP = RM208.1m
AAX (With Capital A's discontinued businesses) Q4FY24 to Q3FY25 NOP = RM890.2m
Valuation calculated using P/E of 15:
Capital A (Including 675m AAX shares) = (RM208.1m x 15) + (675m x RM1.62) = RM4.22b
AAX = RM890.2m x 15 = RM13.35b
Share price assuming full dilution:
Capital A (Assuming full conversion of RCUIDS and warrants) = RM4.22b/8.1b = RM0.52
AAX (Assuming PP at RM1.3 per share and full Garynma subscription) = RM13.35b/4.21b = RM3.18
but the fact that Tony and Kama did not convert their Capital A RCUIDS to ordinary shares doesn't really instill confidence for AAX
Capital A (Continuing businesses) Q4FY24 to Q3FY25 NOP = RM208.1m
AAX (With Capital A's discontinued businesses) Q4FY24 to Q3FY25 NOP = RM890.2m
Valuation calculated using P/E of 15:
Capital A (Including 675m AAX shares) = (RM208.1m x 15) + (675m x RM1.62) = RM4.22b
AAX = RM890.2m x 15 = RM13.35b
Share price assuming full dilution:
Capital A (Assuming full conversion of RCUIDS and warrants) = RM4.22b/8.1b = RM0.52
AAX (Assuming PP at RM1.3 per share and full Garynma subscription) = RM13.35b/4.21b = RM3.18
but the fact that Tony and Kama did not convert their Capital A RCUIDS to ordinary shares doesn't really instill confidence for AAX
Just because you don't like what I said doesn't make it less true, Capital A does have some exposure in aviation post disposal. You as a shareholder will also be exposed given that you will be entitled to AirAsia X/AirAsia Group shares. That being said, I am bullish for ADE and Teleport
Brother, I am still an investor in Capital A Berhad and I hold almost 1 million shares and my concern is definitely valid given that Capital A Berhad shareholders will be entitled to AirAsia X/AirAsia Group shares. Capital A will still hold about 18%+ shares post distribution
Looking at the crack spread, the aviation market is not looking good. Despite brent crude dropping to $62, jet fuel prices have seen a steady climb to $98. Bear in mind Capital A's profit target is based on the assumption that jet fuel price is at $90
We won't know till the ex-date, there will likely be people converting their RCUIDS. Basically 1,692,307,692/Outstanding shares by 2nd December 2025 multiplied by the number of shares you have
Latest timeline per Capital A's presentation on 30 October 2025 to set expectations
Capital A:
End November - Entitlement date for proposed distribution
Early December - Filing with high court of Malaya
End December - Listing and quotation of AAX shares
AirAsia X:
Mid December - Price fixing of placement shares
Mid December - Entitlement Date for AAX Warrants
End December - AAX share allotment and issuance
End December - The launch of AirAsia Group
Capital A:
End November - Entitlement date for proposed distribution
Early December - Filing with high court of Malaya
End December - Listing and quotation of AAX shares
AirAsia X:
Mid December - Price fixing of placement shares
Mid December - Entitlement Date for AAX Warrants
End December - AAX share allotment and issuance
End December - The launch of AirAsia Group
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